ATTENTION: CONCERNED INVESTORS

MARKET SELL-OFF: DOW DROPS $649 - NASDAQ DROPS $497

Market Storm Brewing: Why Wall Street Veterans Are Watching 2025-2026

As Trump's Tariffs Rattle Markets, A Century-Old Pattern Signals Critical Moves Ahead

Editor's Note: As Trump's 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico send markets tumbling with the Dow dropping nearly 650 points, veteran investors like Leon Cooperman are raising cash levels and warning of destabilizing effects ahead. While many focus on the immediate market reaction, the convergence of rising inflation fears, manufacturing slowdown, and Nvidia's 8.8% plunge could signal a deeper shift taking place.

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The Dow plunged 649 points Monday and the S&P 500 dropped 1.8% after President Trump confirmed 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico would take effect Tuesday, with market veterans like Leon Cooperman taking notice. While many focus on immediate headlines, some of Wall Street's most experienced analysts are watching a different pattern - one tied to presidential cycles that has predicted major market moves for over 100 years.

Market Confidence Erodes

The market selloff has erased most post-election gains, with the S&P 500's advance since Election Day now cut to just 1% from over 6%. Manufacturing data showed weakening demand and rising prices, while tech stocks faced particular pressure - with Nvidia tumbling 8.8% and the Nasdaq sliding 2.6%. St. Louis Federal Reserve President Alberto Musalem noted that "near-term inflation expectations have risen substantially over the last few weeks," adding another layer of uncertainty.
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Global Impact Intensifies

The ripple effects are spreading globally, with Mexico's economic growth prospects deteriorating and Chinese manufacturers rushing to beat higher U.S. tariffs. European markets have outperformed U.S. stocks this year despite Trump's "America First" policies, as BCA Research notes "the biggest mispricing in markets now is the ebullient growth expectations embedded in US asset prices."

Veterans Take Defensive Positions

Legendary investor Leon Cooperman is taking an increasingly cautious stance, selling profitable holdings and maintaining an unusually high 15% cash position - well above Wall Street's typical 5% allocation. "Basically, I'm selling anything I have that goes up. I'm selling on strength, reducing exposure on strength," Cooperman told CNBC, expressing concerns about both high valuations and the volatile policy environment.
While Cooperman sees some opportunities in select stocks trading at discounts to market multiples, including Fidelis Insurance Holdings and Vertiv Holdings, his overall positioning reflects broader worries about market stability. "The president is on the right track, but I think he's doing things in a manner that is very destabilizing. So I have a conservative view," he noted, particularly concerned about how Trump's pursuit of deficit reduction could have a "contraction" effect on companies that have benefited from government spending.

What This Could Mean for Investors

The convergence of rising tariffs, inflation concerns, and historical market patterns suggests both significant opportunities and risks ahead. While some sectors may benefit from trade restrictions, others face major headwinds. The key for investors will be having access to proper analysis tools and clear signals for both market entry and exit points as these forces play out. As Cooperman's defensive positioning suggests, maintaining flexibility and keeping powder dry may be crucial in navigating the uncertain environment ahead.

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Juan Villaverde called the top and bottom of every crypto bull market since 2012. And he says 2025 could be the greatest bull market in crypto history. He believes Bitcoin will go to $150,000 — or more.

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Warning: Look for a bad repeat of 2018 and 2022

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